Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Aaron Murray: A Polarizing Star (w/ Poll)

After Saturday's win vs. LSU, Georgia has started the 2013 season impressively, defeating two top 10 teams and losing only to #3 Clemson by 3 (on the road) in the season opener.

There are many factors which have contributed to UGA's early success, including:
1. Offensive Line play
2. Todd Gurley, Keith Marshall, and RBs
3. Chris Conley, Justin Scott-Wesley, Michael Bennett, Arthur Lynch
4. Coaching/Play Calling

--and, oh yea,--

5. Aaron Murray, the guy who was surgical in his performances against South Carolina and LSU, and is now starting to receive the credit he deserves.

Unfortunately, Aaron Murray has been one of the most polarizing "Stars" in UGA history. Some people love him, some are slowly starting to believe in him, and some are waiting for him to screw up again.  After the Clemson loss, I remember walking back to my car and hearing several UGA fans criticizing Murray heavily (not a word about the defense or Murray's lack of protection).  After UGA beat LSU, Murray certainly got credit, but I'm not sure people fully appreciated how well he played, especially without Gurley for most of the game.

Consider this...No matter how many times Matthew Stafford lost to teams badly (i.e. Florida/Alabama) , fans did not seem to blame him exclusively.  It seems the blame went to the coaching staff/play calling (notably Mike Bobo), offensive line, etc.  For, Matthew Stafford was the #1 pocket passer out of high school and was projected as the #1 pick in the NFL Draft by Mel Kiper before he even played a down at UGA.  I believe Stafford's continuous NFL hype and rocket arm significantly decreased the amount of criticism he received from the media and fans.

However, more recently, when UGA loses, the blame seems to go to Aaron Murray in disproportionate fashion, as compared to Stafford.  And, when Murray wins, a lot of people don't seem to credit him as much as David Greene.  Further, I don't remember hearing about Stafford's house being egged after UGA got blown out by Florida in 2008...By contrast, how many times have you heard the fans and media question Aaron Murray's ability, decision-making, play under pressure, etc?

I understand that Murray's play vs. certain teams the last few years was not great (relative to his other performances, which have mostly been elite).  He turned the ball over more than usual in certain games and did not always "win" games for UGA.  But, he certainly didn't "lose" games for UGA either.  As my esteemed colleague Jeremy would say, there is more to winning than QB play - there is offensive line protection, execution, and notably, better defensive play.  Further, during a lot of Murray's career (notably before Gurley/Marshall), the play calling has seemed questionable...how many times have you seen UGA run conservative plays on 1st and 2nd down, leaving Murray with 3rd and 7 or more? How many times have you seen UGA's run game shut down, and yet UGA continues to run play-action pass? Boise State (2011), South Carolina (2010, 2011, 2012), LSU (2011 SEC Champ), and others. 

So, what's the point of this posting? I want to provide UGA fans a heightened awareness of just how elite Murray has been at UGA.  Sure, David Greene will go down as one of UGA's best and favorite QBs; he broke UGA's SEC Championship drought and delivered some big plays at the end of huge games against rivals (Tennessee, Auburn).  But, I want you to take a look at Greene's statistics (and Stafford's) in comparison to Murray. Several numbers pale in comparison to what Murray has done at UGA...note the career QB ratings: 



Comp
Att
Pct
Yds
TD
Int
Rate
Greene







       Fres

192
324
59.3
2789
17
9
143.3
       Soph

218
379
57.5
2924
22
8
137.3
       Jun

264
438
60.3
3307
13
11
128.5
       Sen

175
299
58.5
2508
20
4
148.4
Career
849
1440
59.0
11,528
72
32
138.3








Stafford
Comp
Att
Pct
Yds
TD
Int
Rate
       Fres

135
256
52.7
1749
7
13
109.0
       Soph

194
348
55.7
2523
19
10
128.9
       Jun

235
383
61.4
3459
25
10
153.5
Career
564
987
57.1
7,731
51
33
133.3








Murray
Comp
Att
Pct
Yds
TD
Int
Rate
       Fres

209
342
61.1
3049
24
8
154.5
       Soph

238
403
59.1
3149
35
14
146.4
       Jun

249
386
64.5
3893
36
10
174.8
       Sen
  (9/29/13)
79
116
68.1
1338
11
3
191.1
Career (9/29/13)
775
1247
62.1
11,429
106
35
161.6

Impressed yet?  For those of you who want to see how Murray did compared to QBs outside of UGA, let's compare him to some of the past elite SEC and NCAA QBs: Danny Wuerffel (Florida), Peyton Manning (Tennessee), and Matt Leinart (USC).



Comp
Att
Pct
Yds
TD
Int
Rate
Wuerffel







       Fres

159
273
58.2
2230
22
10
146.1
       Soph

132
212
62.3
1754
18
9
151.3
       Jun

210
325
64.6
3266
35
10
178.4
       Sen*

207
360
57.5
3625
39
13
170.6
Career
708
1170
59.0
10,875
114
42
163.6








P.Manning
Comp
Att
Pct
Yds
TD
Int
Rate
       Fres

89
144
61.8
1141
11
6
145.2
       Soph

244
380
64.2
2954
22
4
146.5
       Jun

243
380
63.9
3287
20
12
147.7
       Sen

287
477
60.2
3819
36
11
147.7
Career
863
1381
62.5
11,201
89
33
147.1








Leinart
Comp
Att
Pct
Yds
TD
Int
Rate
       Soph

255
402
63.4
3556
38
9
164.5
       Jun*

269
412
65.3
3322
33
6
156.5
       Sen

283
431
65.7
3815
28
8
157.5
Career
807
1245
64.8
10,693
99
23
159.5








Murray
Comp
Att
Pct
Yds
TD
Int
Rate
       Fres

209
342
61.1
3049
24
8
154.5
       Soph

238
403
59.1
3149
35
14
146.4
       Jun

249
386
64.5
3893
36
10
174.8
       Sen
  (9/29/13)
79
116
68.1
1338
11
3
191.1
Career
(9/29/13)
775
1247
62.1
11,429
106
35
161.6

*Heisman Trophy Winner

Yes, Aaron Murray has been that amazing statistically.  And, let's not forget, he has dominated Auburn, gained wins over Florida twice, and played great in the SEC Championship vs. Alabama.  Not only do I want UGA to win a National Championship as a fan, but I also want Murray to win one.  Murray has been the model for hard work, leadership, perseverance, and excellence at UGA, and I truly hope fans appreciate him as one of the best to ever wear Red and Black.  

Which best describes your view of Aaron Murray?

1 comment:

  1. A lot of good insight in this article. I especially agree with the comparison of Stafford's scrutiny w/ Murray's. I did not realize how close his stats were compared to some of the college football greats. One thing that I would be interested to see, would be the comparison of strength of schedule among the quarterbacks listed during their 3/4 years. That could make a slight difference. Well done!

    ReplyDelete